And the better performing security is going to offset the poorer one. I use this expression with a lot of my clients that I’m sure they’re getting tired of hearing now, but I always say it’s better to be approximately right than exactly wrong. And that really is the concept here. In fact, there’s a great expression that I heard from Carl Richards and he says “you know, you’re diversified when there’s always something in the portfolio to complain about”. So the concept there, again, is just we don’t know which asset class is going to perform well in which one is going to perform poorly.
CONS, CONS, CONS, This platform is the biggest CON ARTIST out there, we started out with £20000 there was a so called Sarah who was meant to be our “mentor”. Fusion Mediawould like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The Nicola Precious Metals Fund returned +4.7% for the month while underlying gold stocks in the S&P/TSX Composite index returned +0.6% and gold bullion was up +4.5% in Canadian dollar terms. Despite large-cap gold stocks decoupling from gold bullion during cryptocurrency the month, the Nicola Precious Metals Fund finished the year up 37%. The USD dollar fell during the month making gold cheaper for non-US holders while monetary and fiscal policies pushed inflation expectations higher, helping to move gold prices higher. An IPO is a stock market launch where a private company is listed on an exchange and the general public is then allowed to buy shares in the company. The IPO market was very strong in 2020 with names such as DoorDash and Airbnb posting very high returns the day they were listed.
And so, again, checking in and watching people’s body language really pay attention to the screen in front of you. And if somebody seems off, then check in with them beforehand. Some people also do something where they’ll only schedule meetings at six minutes after the hour so that they know people have six minutes to go take a break or stand up or do whatever. Or maybe you say I’m going to go for a walk, let’s have a talking meeting with our headphones on while we’re both walking. You walk where you are, where I am, and let’s have a meeting that way.
We’ve got our ESP contributions, maybe even in our DSP contribution. That’s a lot of different acronyms for a lot of different types of accounts.
But it’s because it’s gone up so much lately that it’s getting a lot of attention. So I looked at some of the headlines which are drawing attention to that in the Financial Post in March 1st of this year. This is the headline posthaste, Mainstream Acceptance or Speculative Implosion Why Citibank Thinks Bitcoin is at a tipping point. Well, that would draw some attention. Well, it is, because a year ago, almost exactly, it was eight thousand nine hundred one dollars. So it’s going to like 600 percent in a year.
Or conversely, you could build a portfolio to provide you the lowest amount of risk for a given level of expected return. So that really was the innovation that Markowitz brought to finance in 1952. Many people predicted that that period of time would come to an end, that eventually those mortgages would go bad, which of course, they did. And many people predicted how bad those mortgages would go. What a lot of people didn’t predict was how widespread those mortgages were spread throughout the financial system worldwide.
But it’s pretty remarkable to come out of here like that with anywhere from anything above zero up to 15, 16, 17 percent out of bond portfolios. So coming out of that now, and you address this a little bit earlier, why own bonds? But maybe we could recap for some of our clients, because we hear a lot like people telling me I’m crazy. Why would I ever own a bond starting at interest rates of in Canada? Point eight percent on a 10 year government of Canada bond. So who would be crazy enough to hold those things?
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But there are fund companies and ETFs out there that are broad market based that don’t have a necessary reconstitution date. So when you look at the top 10 companies in the S&P 500, you’ll see the same names or many of the same names that are in the Dow as you’d expect. Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Facebook, Tesla, Google, which has two share classes. So it occupies two spots, Berkshire Hathaway, Johnson and Johnson and JPMorgan Chase. So, again, lots of overlap as you’d expect.
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And he conveniently liquidated just before March and then just speak with him, recently announced that he’s slowly been getting back in. But the cost of him not just being invested, I know, has hurt his return overall. Now, the question that he continues to ask me is where the market’s going. Is he using foresight to predict what’s going to come in the fall? Because there’s a lot of concern about a second wave. Question is, does he have any insight into that? And I’d say no, which is why he hasn’t been able to get back into the market.
And instead we’re able to do it virtually, everybody was able to watch it from home and we had north of one hundred people attended. And maybe let’s just talk about a model portfolio for a minute, because not everybody knows what a model portfolio is. So these model portfolios are typically what we recommend in our discretionary accounts. So essentially, we as advisors take on a fiduciary responsibility to the investor because they have given us the authority to go ahead and make whatever transactions in the account we deem appropriate at the time. And I remember doing those rebalancing trades on March 20th. And I don’t see that to pat ourselves on the back and say, look how great we did with this.
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And if you recall going through that exercise. But for the vast majority of people I know, including our co-workers here in the industry as well as our clients, these are names that I’ve never heard of. Now, it slightly outdid another company called Constellation Pharma, which went from $4 a share to $47 a share, or more than 1000 percent in return. These are names that aren’t familiar to me, and I say that because I just haven’t heard of them.
And then everybody believes the Fed’s going to save every company and nobody believes there’s risk. And you wield those credit risk premiums into tight levels. You’re incented as an investor to lean further and further into risk to try to replicate that cash flow income you had in the past.
I worked at MTV for a while, then came back to Calgary and ended up working for the movie show, which was expanding from one day a week to six days a week. I was working at Stage West at the time and Earls and I just said, I’m assuming that with your expansion you’re going to need a production assistant. And then from there, I completely transitioned into the corporate world and was working for Magg Energy for about 10 years. So I started off there in a communications role and then it evolved into communications, culture and HR. And so I ended off there as the vice president of H.R. I did all of the community investment as well. With my team of course, I had an amazingly supportive team because in some cases I really didn’t know what the heck I was doing and I needed their support.
So of course I sat there, I bought a couple tickets and I thought, oh, I would be so great to win like eight and a half million dollars. We meet as a team, of course, a couple of times a week. And as a group, we challenged our team to come up with one word that we could use that would best characterize this past year. And but after much debate, the one word we agreed on was grit. And it’s not a word you hear a lot these days.
These are all relative numbers, but 63 versus the world’s standard deviation of 18. And there’s another quote from an interview with Peter Bernstein, who is a renowned financial historian and economist and he said in that interview that “diversification is an explicit recognition of ignorance”. So that’s really not an insult, but really just an acknowledgment that no one can accurately predict the future with any kind of clarity. So that’s the concept with why we would want to diversify.
Claire Horwood is a writer at Finder, specializing in credit cards, loans and other financial products. She has a Bachelor of Arts in Gender Studies from the University of Victoria, along with an Associate’s Degree in Science from Camosun College. Much of Claire’s coursework has focused on writing and statistics, with a healthy dose of social and cultural analysis mixed in for good measure.
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Yet, then you go through something like March and then up to today with bear market, bull market, et cetera, and the economy is all over the news. And it has led to, Greg this is shameless self promotion at its best. I think sometimes it’s just not top of mind. So you can hit a home run out of the gates and think it’s easy and then get caught forex trading up or have the market catch you at the one mile marker. Let’s talk about that as it compares to a sprint. So you’re talking about a marathon, but an extreme example is Usain Bolt. I can say his name because he’s a real person, like he’s a former Olympic champion, world record holder in the one hundred and two hundred meter races.
But it also creates the concept of the free lunch in investing and that being diversification. One of the questions people might ask is, well, why would I want to own a portfolio of multiple asset classes? So, for instance, let’s assume that stocks well, we don’t have to assume that it’s a fact. Stocks have obviously higher volatility and they have higher expected returns. Not only based on historical analysis of the data where there is a premium for equities holding equities over other asset classes like bonds or cash. And just maybe as a side note, the reason when you think about it, well, why would stocks be expected to have a higher return than bonds or cash? And so there is an expectation, if you’re a stock investor, that you will have a return that’s more in line with the risk you’re taking.
- Lehman Brothers went bankrupt, and there was a very real possibility that the financial system was about to completely implode.
- It’s something that you can put the money back in.
- That seems like playing the game a pitfall.
- So it’s not just expressing your feelings, but it’s expressing your desires.
- I mean, it doesn’t matter in many cases what specific investment philosophy you have as long as over long periods of time, through market cycles, you can stick with it.
- While this is a risk, we would see this as a buying opportunity for more patient investors.
And so you sometimes hear this used in reference to like natural hazards and threats to the environment or health. And there’s been a lot of theories proposed to explain why different people make different estimates of the dangerousness of risks.
And then my favorite thing that I watched was the Formula One documentary on Netflix, which is covering two seasons. Now and I’ll tell you guys, I’m not a Formula One fan, but I am now. I just found the whole thing so intriguing. I play a ton of guitar, spend time with my wife. My kids are old and they’re not at the age where they want to spend time with me.
And there’s a lot of guys that had good connections to get canadian forex brokers into this business. They’re just different type of people.